Central Planning and Heuristic Pricing
*Note: I'm reposting this and maybe a few other posts from an earlier defunct blog of mine for 'archival' reasons.
My interests have led me to begin reading various works in
the area of socialist economic theory (and to some extent economic practice),
and this has spurred a great deal of thinking on my part about the topic. As
such, I will be writing a series of posts on related subjects I've recently
been reading or thinking about. Today, we will be revisiting the socialist
calculation debate that emerged in the 1920s; more specifically, the most
robust argument made by proponents of central planning and the public ownership
of factors of production: Fred Taylor's proposed 'trial and error' approach to
pricing goods and services (Taylor, 1929). Some socialists have argued that
Taylor's proposed mechanism was never really refuted by the Mises or Hayek
during the original discourse. Jossa and Cuomo (1997), for example, argue that
Hayek mistakenly believed he had refuted Taylor's method with his famed
'knowledge problem.' However, Hayek, they contend, did not understand Taylor's
method. Hayek failed to note that the prohibitively massive and expensive
demand data collection project was not necessary.
For this post, I will first describe Taylor's heuristic
market socialist approach to pricing, and then offer my criticisms of it. But
first, some background. The central question behind this debate is: can the
state set the prices and production levels of each good produced so as maximize
efficiency? Or, put slightly differently, can it do so as efficiently as a free
market, in which the means of production are privately owned, can? Ludwig von
Mises and Friedrich Hayek argued (and most economists have found their argument
persuasive; Brad DeLong, a Keynesian not at all sympathetic to Austrian
economics, declared, "even liberal Keynesian social democrats acknowledge
that the Austrians won victory in their intellectual debate with the central
planners long ago."; see references for link) that the central planner
would have to solve the system of general equilibrium equations for all goods
being produced, which itself would be untenable; of course, one might use
computational methods to approximate it, but Hayek argued that one would still
have to collect information on the demand for each and every good or service to
plug into the general equilibrium model, and that the subsidiarity of knowledge
about demand rendered such a data collection enterprise by a central planner
inevitably more costly than merely letting the local market participants
determine prices. For socialists contemporary with von Mises and Hayek, this
was quite problematic.
However, an alternative method of pricing was proposed by
Fred Taylor. This method would not require one to solve an exorbitantly complex
system of equations and collect massive amounts of data almost perpetually on
demand for a myriad of goods. Instead, Taylor argued for a 'trial and error'
approach that largely recapitulates the heuristic processes by which von Mises
argued markets achieve optimal prices (and therefore optimal allocation of
resources). This method would avoid both the need to simultaneously solve the
general equilibrium equations and to collect data on demand for all goods and
services in the economy almost constantly. In other words, it differentiated
itself from other proposed centrally planned systems by managing to be plausible.
Taylor's Pricing Approach
So, how would Taylor's mechanism for achieving an optimal
set of prices work (or at least my potentially erroneous understanding of it).
Let's suppose that, in our hypothetical economy, there are N factor goods, produced by the state, for
which a central planner dictates the production levels and prices of each
factor good (a factor good is a good produced for the purpose of producing a
final good to be consumed; Taylor uses sewing machines as an example of a
factor good necessary to produce textiles). Each factory producing a consumer
good must in turn each charge a price equal to the sum of the prices of the
factor goods necessary to produce the consumer good (or rather, weighted sum,
according to the quantities of the input factors needed to produce it). Each
factory is ordered to increase production to the point where either there are
no more willing buyers or where marginal cost equals marginal revenue (i.e.,
the point of profit maximization in standard microeconomics), with the price
fixed by the central planner. This ensures the optimal allocation of resources
for the production of N goods given a set of prices. The issue is: how to find
the optimal prices?
To achieve this aim, the central planner starts by simply
assigning a price (with the specification that it be at least high enough to
cover the cost of production) to each factor good. This first guess of a price
would, per Taylor, reflect the best estimate the central planner can come up
with a priori, but we can just as well assume that it is essentially random,
and this only changes the alacrity with which the system approaches
equilibrium. Each citizen would be allotted by the state an income, and would
then be allowed to spend it as he pleases to purchase goods from the assorted
state-owned firms (I will use the term 'firm' to refer to the state-owned
producers and distributors of goods; in other words, any entity that sells
goods to either consumers or another entity) at the assigned price. From here,
Taylor argues, it is simple to determine whether the price of a factor good is
too high or too low: if too high, the firm producing it will accrue a surplus
(in other words, the rate at which the good is produced will exceed the rate at
which it is sold and consumed); conversely, if the price is too low, the good
will sell out faster than inventories can be supplied. The central planner may
therefore simply adjust the price upward for any good that is sold out (or for
which inventories are declining) and adjust downward the price of any good for
which surpluses are accruing. This process is repeated until the inventory for
each good is constant.
There are two key innovations to this system: 1) it does not
require solving the general equilibrium equations because prices are not
determined instantaneously and analytically but rather algorithmically; and 2)
information on demand for each good need not be collected and centralized;
instead, all the central planner must know at any given time is whether the
producer of each good is accruing a surplus or a deficit in the good they are
producing. This second innovation is why, according to defenders of market
socialism, Hayek's knowledge problem does not apply here, and that merely
allowing consumers to purchase what they will provides enough information about
whether demand exceeds supply or supply exceeds demand. Moreover, in such a
system, prices would only need to be managed for primary factor goods, since,
if we accept Taylor's premises, a surplus or dearth of a consumer good will
ultimately be passed up the chain to primary factor goods, and if the primary
factor goods are optimally priced, then all derivative goods will be too, as,
recall, the optimal price of a consumer good is the marginal cost of
production, which is equal to cost of purchasing the necessary factors of
production.
Criticisms
1. The Discrete Classification of Goods and Granularity of
Variation
Taylor's pricing system requires a central planner to
designate a discrete, finite number of unique goods (factor or consumer goods)
to produce, whereas in fact no such discrete set exist; rather, goods vary
continuously in quality and other characteristics. This classification
(treating goods as a finite, discrete, and static set) inevitably leads to inefficiencies.
In reality, there is not a discrete, finite set of goods and services; rather,
a good may vary essentially continuously in quality (not merely in the sense of
being better or worse, but in characteristics like size, shape, material,
etc.). As long as the set of goods is fixed in some predetermined way, the
potential for variability will be suppressed, to the detriment of consumer
welfare. But even given the shape, size, color, and every other characteristic
of a hypothetical widget, the price of that distinct good also varies
continuously across space and time. It is from this point that it is clear that
Hayek's knowledge problem does indeed apply here. Turning the estimation of
demand for a particular good into a binary, algorithmic determination only
slightly eases the difficulty faced by the producer. One might argue that,
across the dimension of time, iterations of Taylor's process may be done
frequently enough to reasonably approximate optimal resource allocation and
leave little left on the table, but this would be woefully insufficient: prices
of consumer goods vary drastically even within a city, and factor goods do as
well, let alone between regions. Moreover, the nature of the variation itself
may change over time, so even the discovery of a particular pattern of
variation across geography is of only temporary value, and potentially obsolete
by the time it can be put into practice.
One might argue the production of factor goods may be
greatly centralized, though transportation costs are unlikely to be negligible.
However, production and sale of consumer goods must necessarily be disbursed,
and though, given a particular distribution of sellers, Taylor's approach may
optimize prices, where to sell each good in what quantity requires a knowledge
of local demand for each good or service throughout our hypothetical economy,
knowledge which, as Hayek articulated, is prohibitively difficult to accumulate
centrally. If the location at which a good is produced is sub-optimal, then
optimizing the price given the sub-optimal location will still yield a gross
inefficiency. The problem goes beyond geographical variability though. Goods
vary in a host of characteristics. For example, the optimal material out of
which to manufacture a textile product, or the appropriate sizes, or preferred
colors, etc. The problem of what price to charge for a generic sweater may
solvable by Taylor's method, but not what kind of sweater to manufacture at a
given location and time, or where and when is the optimal time (time of day,
season, etc.) and place to sell a given kind of sweater. If firms are
sub-optimally distributed, constrained in what they can produce by the
arbitrary definition of their task by the central planner, and further
constrained in the availability of capital goods by the lack of variation in
the latter imposed by the equally arbitrary definition of the task assigned to
their producers, then Taylor's algorithm may be able to bridge only a fraction
of the gap in efficiency between the starting point and that of an efficient
market economy.
We might ask, how, within this centrally planned heuristic
framework, might we give the production system greater flexibility so as to
remedy these shortcomings. What is necessary is a mechanism for experimentation:
for producers of consumer goods to vary local prices. For example, suppose our
hypothetical country has multiple provinces and each consumer good has a firm
selling it in each province. If price varies from one province to another,
then, to reach the actual optimum, each provincial seller must be allowed to
vary his price from the one indirectly set by the central planner (by setting
the factor prices) to determine if the price in his province is below or above
the 'national equilibrium' price determined by Taylor's process, so the
provincial seller can transmit this information to the producers of the factor
goods, who should in turn be able to respond by engaging in price
discrimination between the various provincial sellers in order to maximize the efficient
allocation of resources. In other words, finding the optimal 'national' price
is not sufficient to reach the optimal allocation of resources as long as
prices varies within the country at a more granular level. Moreover, provincial
firms must be free to vary prices between localities within their respective
provinces. So, we find ourselves back with Hayek, where, even with the optimal
national price determined, the determination of local prices is still best
deferred to the most local market participant - the entity responsible for
selling the consumer good at that level. One might mention that, for some
goods, prices will be fairly constant from one region to another, but even the
determination of the granularity of price variation itself requires local
experimentation.
Not only must our system still devolve decision making on
local prices onto local sellers to meet Hayek's still very much relevant
objections, it must also allow for experimentation at all levels in the
variation of the qualities of goods and services, not just to tailor goods to
the specific needs or preferences of national citizens, but to allow for the
simultaneous production of many different subtypes of each particular good to
meet the varied preferences among citizens within the country. Producers and
distributors of consumer goods (and arguably factor goods if transportation
costs are not negligible) must also be given the freedom to vary the specific
location of production and/or distribution, as, even if the price set by the
central authority is 'nationally optimal', demand for a good is almost
certainly not homogeneous throughout the country. And because there is
essentially no limit to the granularity with which prices and quality
preferences can vary, our system must allow for the unlimited establishment of
new production/distribution franchises for the system to effectively probe for
the appropriate level of granularity of variation in price and quality. Our
system must also, of course, allow for the timely closing of franchises at
which cost exceeds revenue. So, either firms must be free to open up new
franchises, or citizens must be free to organize their own firms. But this
introduces the new problem of how startup costs are to be met. The central
planner might allot temporary funding until the new firm or franchise
(remember, existing firms are not, in a socialist system, allowed to accrue
surplus wealth, and so will be unable to absorb startup costs for new
franchises) either finds itself earning revenue equal to cost, or is decidedly
unable to do so. Of course, the time frame for making such a decision must vary
from one good to another, as startup costs vary from one good to another. How
to we determine the appropriate time-frame for running these production experiments?
How do we decide whether a firm is likely worth starting up to begin with? For
if our central planner takes all comers, it may become extremely expensive, as
there would be no incentive for anyone to avoid frivolously starting an
unnecessary firm. The issue of incentives will be dealt with in a future post,
but suffice it to say, we consistently find ourselves in a position of needing
to defer to more local market participants to most efficiently experiment with
local price, quality, and geographical distribution so as to bring the economy
closer to its actual optimal point.
2. The Pricing of Factor Goods
Another major flaw in Taylor's heuristic pricing system is
his assumption that the value of a factor good is determined by the prices of
the consumer goods derived from it. Superficially his claim may make sense, and
is often repeated by market socialists in criticizing von Mises's claim that
the private ownership of the means of production (and the accretion of profit
therefrom) is necessary for a market for factor goods to exist and therefore
for factor goods to be optimally priced. However, Taylor's rejection of von
Mises's claim is incorrect. The value of a factor good (or, to be in strict
accordance with marginal utility theory of value, we might say, how much
producers of consumer goods will tend to value a factor good) is not merely
determined by present prices and demand (that is, current expected revenue) but
rather by the expected revenue (itself determined by expected demand and
expected cost) going forward well into the future. This is a very key point: an
efficient market is forward looking. Resources must not merely be allocated
across the many (as I argued above, virtually infinite) different varieties of
goods and services, but also efficiently allocated across time. For example, we
positively do not want our grain farms to accrue no surpluses over time, as
demand for grain, and cost of production for that matter, tend to be cyclical.
The price which, in Taylor's model, 'optimizes' grain production, in the long
run, leads to underproduction in the future. We should want a surplus to be
accrued to be stored in granaries for when either demand or cost of production
increases (such as when winter comes, or when a famine occurs).
The other side of this coin is that demand or cost of
production may, for some reason, be expected to decline in the future (either
in a cyclical pattern or secular trend), meaning the immediately optimal price
of the good, as determined by the heuristic approach, will lead to
overproduction. This is obviously the case for durable goods whose utility is
spread across a long time-frame: if we might produce a car next year much more
cheaply than this year, and consumers' time-preference utility function extends
out as far out as, say, 10 years, and the car will last at least 10 years, the
loss from the car not being available for the next year may be superseded by
the gains from producing it much more cheaply and having it available for the
remaining 9 years, even completely discounting the consumers' use of the car
beyond the 10th year. However, even the price and production level of
non-durable goods must be optimized over time if startup or expansion costs are
not negligible (and they rarely are). Consider perishable food crops: if the
cost of planting and cultivating the crop (i.e., the preparatory costs of
ultimate production) are significant - and especially if there's a significant
time delay before amount of goods we decide to produce will actually make it to
market - then even if the good is very perishable, we must take into account
how much demand there will be for this good in, say, six months, in addition to
how much there is today; for if demand goes up in six months, then our decision
to allocate only enough land and labor to produce the optimal amount today will
mean we will be underproducing in six months; once again, it may be worth it to
allocate 'too much' land, labor, etc. to the production of this good today in
order to produce the optimal amount in six months. In other words, having idle
resources today may actually be productive in the long run as such idle
resources may find efficient use in the future, and disassembling such idle
resources for some other purpose today may optimize production today but, in
the long run, yield a sub-optimal state (see W.H. Hutt's The Theory of Idle
Resources for a more detailed analysis of idle resources).
So, it is not sufficient that we merely optimize prices of
factor goods based on the immediate demand for consumer goods. Once again, we
might ask, how might we alter the heuristic pricing system so that we can
actually optimally price factor goods, accounting not just for current demand
and costs, but future demand and costs as well? Well, for durable goods, we may
do this simply by allowing citizens to buy up as much of the good as they
please, allowing them to store the good ('hoard' it, as some would say), so
that they may sell it in the future on the private market should demand (or
cost of production) go up. Basically, we would be permitting citizens to
engaging in arbitraging across time. A couple issues, however, would likely be
present: it is highly doubtful that a socialist society would be particularly
amenable to the practices of 'hording' and 'price gouging' and let them serve
their purposes. Additionally, allowing consumers to store durable goods in bulk
would arguably be in violation of the principle of forbidding private ownership
of the means of production. Our hypothetical hoarders would own warehouses and
granaries and, should their investments prove wise, would earn what we might
call profit. It would be ironic that the only citizens earning a profit in our
socialist society would be those engaged in mere speculation (to be sure,
speculation is, contrary to conventional wisdom, often quite productive, as it
can serve, again, as the equivalent of arbitrage across time). There is also a
slippery slope here: if we accept that it is beneficial to allow speculative
purchase if not production, why is it not also beneficial to allow private
citizens to buy up land and allot it to the production of perishable goods on
the expectation that the demand for them will increase in the future, so that
they might earn a speculative profit? To allow them to do so would be just as
beneficial to society, and yet would clearly be forbidden by the public
ownership of primary factors of production.
So, if we maintain public ownership of primary factors, how
can the central planner efficiently allocate resources across time? How can we
estimate whether a given price for a given good will be too low or too high in
the future? Once again, for consumer goods, we might do best to defer this
decision-making to the agents closest to consumption, as they will be best able
to predict whether demand for a particular good (or very particular subtype of
a good) at a particular location or among a particular consumer demographic. On
the factor side of things, it is also reasonable that we give those involved in
managing the production of the factor good the freedom to speculate on future
costs of production: those who grow soybeans for a living in a particular location
will tend to have the best idea of, say, how weather patterns affect the cost
of production of soybeans. Another necessary feature, however, is multiplicity
of experimentation methods. The usefulness of private investment markets is
derived in large part from the fact that countless different firms and
individual investors are constantly experimenting in a wide array of methods
for speculating on future demand and costs. This allows the economy to
capitalize on the Darwinian process in which those most prescient in their
anticipation of future demand and costs are most likely to succeed and reinvest
the surplus earnings. Speculation about future prices is, then, not a binary
choice like deciding how to alter current prices in Taylor's method; rather, there
are an infinite number of possible patterns that may occur across time. But
markets are not merely Darwinian: they are also Lamarckian. Unsuccessful
investors (or new, 'naive' investors) learn from successful ones and imitate
them (or their methods or algorithms) and often vary them slightly to see if
they can even further improve upon them. Allowing each firm to engage in
speculation (i.e., allowing its managers to factor their own estimates of
future demand and production cost into their pricing) is the only way to
maximize the capture of local information about likely future trends. We might
in theory allow only a fraction of our firms for each good to experiment with
prices by speculating about future changes in demand and costs, and this would
meet the requirement of having multiple 'competing' approaches to speculation,
from which the most successful may be periodically ordered to be replicated
among the other firms. However, we once again run into the problem of
granularity: demand and cost trends are often heterogeneous across the country,
so we cannot merely pick the most successful pricing mechanism among 100
experimenting firms and apply it everywhere; we might allow 100 firms in each
province to experiment, but what about intra-province variation in demand and
cost trends? Once again, as we change are system, we approach the point where
each firm is permitted to experiment. Worries about the cost redundant
experimentation may be answered by the fact that no firm is required to develop
its own method for anticipating changes in demand and cost; it may simply
imitate that of another firm that is nearby or highly similar. And who is in
the best position to ascertain whether one firm's expectations can be
reasonably extrapolated to another? The managers of the latter firm (and
perhaps the former one as well), of course. They are the ones who will most
thoroughly and immediately observe the similarities between their firm's
circumstances and those of one they are considering imitating, and observe when
or where such similarities cease to apply, and being able to respond in the
most timely manner. Thus, devolving the task of factoring future costs and
demand upon each individual firm itself is the most efficient way to allocate
resources across time for both factor goods and consumer goods as well, as it
preserves both the Darwinian and Lamarckian properties of the market.
3. Pricing Labor
Labor is potentially the most important factor good, and
this fact often proves an inconvenience for socialist theory, as the efficient
pricing of labor often contradicts with socialist aspirations toward equality
of outcome. Taylor's heuristic pricing algorithm is no exception. Indeed, the
problem insufficient granularity in pricing of factor inputs is most apparent
with labor because the heterogeneity of the value of labor is so self-evident.
Taylor does not mention applying his heuristic algorithm to determine the price
of labor generally (that is, the universal wage for all laborers), presumably
for the obvious reason that, since the amount earned in income (in other words,
labor price times quantity) necessarily equals revenue, one universal wage
differs from another only nominally, not in real purchasing power. Therefore,
the pricing labor is purely a relative issue: how much should each type of
laborer be paid relative to each other type? (note that I am assuming monetary
neutrality for the sake of simplicity)
Incidentally, though Taylor does not suggest it, if we
define a finite set of occupations (like with other factor goods), we can just
as easily apply Taylor's algorithm here as elsewhere. Occupations vary in
difficulty and skill. If we accept the rather trivial assumption that people
are at all motivated by material compensation (i.e., that ceteris paribus, a
person will tend to prefer one hour of easy work to one hour of hard work if
they pay the same wage), if one occupation is under-priced relative to another
(suppose, for example, they pay the same wage, but the former is more
difficult, dangerous, etc.) then workers will flee the under-priced occupation
for the over-priced one. The surplus or dearth of workers seeking each
occupation can therefore inform the gradual adjustment of wages in each
occupation toward the optimal relative pricing of the many species of labor,
which is conducive to the optimal allocation of resources and the maximization
of social welfare. Indeed, since the utility of optimally pricing and
allocating other factors of production largely hinges on whether these other
factors are being mixed with the right kind of labor, the efficient pricing of
labor is likely more important than the efficient pricing all other factors
combined. This is not so much a criticism of centrally coordinated heuristic
pricing in theory as a challenge to the selective willingness to apply it. All
of the same economic arguments behind applying Taylor's pricing algorithm to
other factors are equally applicable to labor, and its application to labor is
at least as conducive to improving general welfare. At this point, however,
socialists tend to break with economic reasoning in favor of political axioms.
Most socialists, I expect, would not permit the heuristic search for optimal
labor pricing because, to put it bluntly, the sound economizing of labor (a scarce
resource as much as anything) contradicts their political/moral valuation of
material equality for its own sake, and they are generally willing to sacrifice
the former the sake of the latter.
It is also worth noting that the above arguments for permitting
sellers (laborers) to experiment with setting their own prices, and the
purchasers of factor goods (firms) be permitted to vary the prices of their
products and the quantity of the input factor purchased (and consequently the
amount of goods produced) in accord with labor prices are every bit as
applicable to labor as to other factor goods, as labor varies in character, in
production cost (training and education), and in optimal price (with geography
and time) just as other factors do. Therefore, if our goal is still the optimal
allocation of resources for the maximization of general welfare, we should also
devolve decision-making on the cultivation, employment, and pricing of labor,
in all its forms, to each local buyer and seller of labor to effectively
account for all the axes on which labor may vary, rather than compel compliance
with centrally determined wages.
4. The Problem of Centrally Coordinated Demand and Cost
Assessment
Finally, I will argue that the more centrally planned
alternative the 'devolutionary' solutions to the problems inherent in a
centrally planned, heuristic pricing system is unavoidable inefficient. We
might imagine that the central planner could establish a Bureau of Demand and
Cost Assessment, which would have branches all across the country assessing
variation in demand across dimensions of geography, consumer demographic,
product characteristics, and time. Of course, positing such a bureau to avoid
the devolution of decision-making about pricing, production, and ultimately
resource allocation, and maintain centrality, leads us right back into Hayek's
knowledge problem, demonstrating that, contrary to what some market socialists
have claimed, Hayek's point about the decentralized distribution of knowledge
prevails as a devastating impediment to centralization. I will add that the
sheer granularity of variation necessitates that the cost of running a Bureau
of Demand and Cost Assessment increases exponentially the more one expands its
operations to approach efficiently granular decision-making. We might have one
Bureau branch in each province directing provincial firms in matters based on
research about province trends, but then variation within each province would
be ignored. We might have a branch in each city and town, but anyone can
readily observe that prices and availability for goods tend to vary (even among
stores of the same chain) even within a city. And with each added level of
subsidiarity, the cost of running the Bureau increases in proportion to the
number of provinces, the number of cities, the number of neighborhoods.
Eventually, to truly optimize pricing and production, we approach the point
where each firm has a concomitant Bureau branch analyzing how demand and costs
will change over time for that firm. At that point, however, it would be easily
argued we have an entirely redundant bureaucracy consuming a massive amount of
resources. Everything the Bureau branch is observing is also being observed by
those managing production themselves, so why not simply merge the task of
producing with the task of determine what to produce, where and how to produce
it, and how to price it?
Conclusion
Taylor's method for optimizing prices is meant to be a
robust form of market socialism that allows central planners to exploit the
information provided by the market (the relative demand for goods) rather than
attempting to fully suppress it. Taylor and other market socialists break with
Marx in that they accept that economic categories such as prices, profit, rent,
etc. cannot be practically dispensed with as long as there is scarcity.
Instead, Taylor and other advocates of market socialism seek use market derived
information - here, the observed relative demand for final consumer goods - to
inform centrally coordinated pricing orchestrated heuristically rather than
analytically.
Two major themes recur in my criticism of centrally
coordinated trial and error pricing. First, though heuristic pricing based on
relative demand is superior to central pricing approaches that ignore organic
demand for the various goods produced, a damning flaw in central pricing
remains equally applicable here: the inevitable variation in both demand and
cost of production within any defined 'class' of good with potential variation
in the characteristics of the good, and variation in demand and cost across
other dimensions like geography, consumer demographic, and - as all of these
factors are dynamic rather than static - across time. Taylor's system of
assigning prices to a finite set of of classes of goods, the production of
which is distributed (geographically, temporally, and across other dimensions)
in a fixed manner, is inevitably sub-optimal in a way that can be readily
improved simply by devolving decision-making onto ever more local, rather than central,
market participants. The optimal level of granularity in price and quality
variation is ultimately achieved by permitting individual firms to make
decisions in a manner unmoored from the edicts of the central planner.
The second theme is the necessity of constant
experimentation. There is no single, optimal national price for a given good,
nor is there really a nationally optimal way to produce a given good. What is
optimal varies, as mentioned above, across geography, and what is optimal even
locally at the moment won't be optimal in the future. To find a more granular
optimum, and to continue to rediscover it most efficiently as it moves, firms
must always and everywhere be free to experiment by varying products, prices,
and location. The freedom to conduct such constant experimentation requires
permitting firms to ignore the central planner, and to the extent that we allow
such experimentation, we render the central planner redundant.
In the course of my criticism, I have offered putative solutions
that might mitigate the shortcomings of centrally coordinated pricing. But each
solution that improves the efficiency and dynamism of the pricing system is
itself a clear deviation from central pricing toward a free market economy.
Inasmuch as we alter the central pricing system to make it more efficient, we
march ever closer to the very system the central pricing system itself was
conceived in order to avoid.
Lastly, I will note that there are other issues with the
centrally planned approach to pricing that I have not mentioned here that
relate to issues with incentives, such as who bears the cost of failed
experimental underpricing and who keeps the gains from successful experimental
overpricing. I have instead decided to save those for a future post, dealing
exclusively with incentive-related issues.
References:
1. Taylor, Fred. "The Guidance of Production in a
Socialist State"
2. von Mises, Ludwig. "Socialism: An Economic and
Sociological Analysis."
3. Hayek, Friedrich. "The Use of Knowledge in
Society."
4. Jossa and Cuomo. "The Economic Theory of Socialism
and the Labour-managed Firm."
5. Hutt, William H. "The Theory of Idle
Resources."
6. DeLong, Bradford. "James Scott and Friedrich
Hayek." http://delong.typepad.com/sdj/2007/10/james-scott-and.html
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